claude-trading-skills

Expert guidance for systematic backtesting of trading strategies. Use when developing, testing, stress-testing, or validating quantitative trading strategies. Covers "beating ideas to death" methodology, parameter robustness testing, slippage modeling, bias prevention, and interpreting backtest results. Applicable when user asks about backtesting, strategy validation, robustness testing, avoiding overfitting, or systematic trading development.

This skill should be used when analyzing market breadth charts, specifically the S&P 500 Breadth Index (200-Day MA based) and the US Stock Market Uptrend Stock Ratio charts. Use this skill when the user provides breadth chart images for analysis, requests market breadth assessment, positioning strategy recommendations, or wants to understand medium-term strategic and short-term tactical market outlook based on breadth indicators. Also works WITHOUT chart images by fetching CSV data directly from public sources. All analysis and output are conducted in English.

Generate Minervini-style breakout trade plans from VCP screener output with worst-case risk calculation, portfolio heat management, and Alpaca-compatible order templates (stop-limit bracket for pre-placement, limit bracket for post-confirmation). Use when user has VCP screener results and wants actionable trade plans with entry/stop/target levels and position sizing.

Screen US stocks using William O'Neil's CANSLIM growth stock methodology. Use when user requests CANSLIM stock screening, growth stock analysis, momentum stock identification, or wants to find stocks with strong earnings and price momentum following O'Neil's investment system.

Synthesize the three Jason Shapiro contrarian-pipeline verdicts (COT crowding, news-reaction failure, weekly price-action confirmation) into one actionable setup_status via a fail-closed precedence state machine. Pure, offline synthesis -- no network, no API keys, no computation beyond validation and precedence.

Detect crowded speculative positioning in CFTC futures markets (COT report analysis) to find contrarian setups using Jason Shapiro's methodology. Screens large-speculator ("non-commercial") net positioning across 65 futures markets (indices, rates, FX, metals, energy, crypto) via the FMP Commitment of Traders API, computes a 3-year and 26-week COT Index per market, and classifies extremes as CROWDED_LONG / CROWDED_SHORT. Use when the user asks about COT report analysis, crowded positioning, "who is trapped", speculative positioning extremes, contrarian futures setups, or wants to run Jason Shapiro-style analysis. This skill automates crowding DETECTION only (step 1 of 5) — it does not generate trade signals by itself.

Quantifies crypto market regime health using free, keyless public data (CoinGecko + Binance funding). Generates a 0-100 composite score across 6 components (100 = risk-on) with a posture recommendation. No API key required. Use when user asks about crypto market conditions, whether it's alt season, BTC dominance, crypto risk-on vs risk-off, funding rates, or whether crypto exposure should be increased or reduced.

Validate data quality in market analysis documents and blog articles before publication. Use when checking for price scale inconsistencies (ETF vs futures), instrument notation errors, date/day-of-week mismatches, allocation total errors, and unit mismatches. Supports English and Japanese content. Advisory mode -- flags issues as warnings for human review, not as blockers.

Use this skill to find high-quality dividend growth stocks (12%+ annual dividend growth, 1.5%+ yield) that are experiencing temporary pullbacks, identified by RSI oversold conditions (RSI ≤40). This skill combines fundamental dividend analysis with technical timing indicators to identify buying opportunities in strong dividend growers during short-term weakness.

Analyze historical downtrend durations and generate interactive HTML histograms showing typical correction lengths by sector and market cap.

Evaluate account-level drawdown circuit breaker rules from trader-memory-core state and decide whether new trade risk is allowed today. Uses realized P&L, losing-streak cooldowns, and weekly/monthly drawdown limits without any external API.

Review skills in any project using a dual-axis method: (1) deterministic code-based checks (structure, scripts, tests, execution safety) and (2) LLM deep review findings. Use when you need reproducible quality scoring for `skills/*/SKILL.md`, want to gate merges with a score threshold (for example 90+), or need concrete improvement items for low-scoring skills. Works across projects via --project-root.

This skill retrieves upcoming earnings announcements for US stocks using the Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) API. Use this when the user requests earnings calendar data, wants to know which companies are reporting earnings in the upcoming week, or needs a weekly earnings review. The skill focuses on mid-cap and above companies (over $2B market cap) that have significant market impact, organizing the data by date and timing in a clean markdown table format. Supports multiple environments (CLI, Desktop, Web) with flexible API key management.

Analyze recent post-earnings stocks using a 5-factor scoring system (Gap Size, Pre-Earnings Trend, Volume Trend, MA200 Position, MA50 Position). Scores each stock 0-100 and assigns A/B/C/D grades. Use when user asks about earnings trade analysis, post-earnings momentum screening, earnings gap scoring, or finding best recent earnings reactions.

Fetch upcoming economic events and data releases using FMP API. Retrieve scheduled central bank decisions, employment reports, inflation data, GDP releases, and other market-moving economic indicators for specified date ranges (default: next 7 days). The script outputs raw JSON or text; the assistant filters, assesses impact, and generates the Markdown report.

Generate and prioritize US equity long-side edge research tickets from EOD observations, then export pipeline-ready candidate specs for trade-strategy-pipeline Phase I. Use when users ask to turn hypotheses/anomalies into reproducible research tickets, convert validated ideas into `strategy.yaml` + `metadata.json`, or preflight-check interface compatibility (`edge-finder-candidate/v1`) before running pipeline backtests.

Abstract detector tickets and hints into reusable edge concepts with thesis, invalidation signals, and strategy playbooks before strategy design/export.

Extract edge hints from daily market observations and news reactions, with optional LLM ideation, and output canonical hints.yaml for downstream concept synthesis and auto detection.

Orchestrate the full edge research pipeline from candidate detection through strategy design, review, revision, and export. Use when coordinating multi-stage edge research workflows end-to-end.

Aggregate and rank signals from multiple edge-finding skills (edge-candidate-agent, theme-detector, sector-analyst, institutional-flow-tracker) into a prioritized conviction dashboard with weighted scoring, deduplication, and contradiction detection.

Convert abstract edge concepts into strategy draft variants and optional exportable ticket YAMLs for edge-candidate-agent export/validation.

Critically review strategy drafts from edge-strategy-designer for edge plausibility, overfitting risk, sample size adequacy, and execution realism. Use when strategy_drafts/*.yaml exists and needs quality gate before pipeline export. Outputs PASS/REVISE/REJECT verdicts with confidence scores.

Generate a one-page Market Posture summary with net exposure ceiling, growth-vs-value bias, participation breadth, and new-entry-allowed vs cash-priority recommendation by integrating signals from breadth, regime, and flow analysis skills.

Build and open FinViz screener URLs from natural language requests. Use when user wants to screen stocks, find stocks matching criteria, filter by fundamentals or technicals, or asks to open FinViz with specific conditions. Supports both Japanese and English input (e.g., "高配当で成長している小型株を探したい", "Find oversold large caps with high ROE").

Detects Follow-Through Day (FTD) signals for market bottom confirmation using William O'Neil's methodology. Dual-index tracking (S&P 500 + NASDAQ) with state machine for rally attempt, FTD qualification, and post-FTD health monitoring. Use when user asks about market bottom signals, follow-through days, rally attempts, re-entry timing after corrections, or whether it's safe to increase equity exposure. Complementary to market-top-detector (defensive) - this skill is offensive (bottom confirmation).

Calculate contract-based futures position sizes from a direction, entry, and stop-loss, using verified per-symbol contract specs (multiplier, tick size, tick value). Use when the user asks how many futures contracts to trade, wants to size a futures position (ES, NQ, ZB, GC, CL, 6E/E6, VX, BT, ...), or is handing off a contrarian-setup-gate READY_FOR_PLAN direction/invalidation_level for sizing. Pure, offline calculation -- no API keys, no network.

Fetch official FXMacroData macro release-calendar events for trade planning, macro regime checks, and event-risk filters. Use before CPI, NFP, GDP, PCE, retail sales, PMI, and central-bank decision windows.

Detect IBD-style Distribution Days for QQQ/SPY (close down at least 0.2% on higher volume), track 25-session expiration and 5% invalidation, count d5/d15/d25 clusters, classify market risk (NORMAL/CAUTION/HIGH/SEVERE), and emit TQQQ/QQQ exposure recommendations. Use after market close, before TQQQ exposure changes, or as input to FTD/market-state frameworks. Does not execute trades.

Use this skill to track institutional investor ownership changes and portfolio flows using 13F filings data. Analyzes hedge funds, mutual funds, and other institutional holders to identify stocks with significant smart money accumulation or distribution. Helps discover stocks before major moves by following where sophisticated investors are deploying capital.

Monitor dividend portfolios with Kanchi-style forced-review triggers (T1-T5) and convert anomalies into OK/WARN/REVIEW states without auto-selling. Use when users ask for 減配検知, 8-Kガバナンス監視, 配当安全性モニタリング, REVIEWキュー自動化, or periodic dividend risk checks.

Convert Kanchi-style dividend investing into a repeatable US-stock operating procedure. Use when users ask for かんち式配当投資, dividend screening, dividend growth quality checks, PERxPBR adaptation for US sectors, pullback limit-order planning, or one-page stock memo creation. Covers screening, deep dive, entry planning, and post-purchase monitoring cadence.

Provide US dividend tax and account-location workflow for Kanchi-style income portfolios. Use when users ask about qualified vs ordinary dividends, 1099-DIV interpretation, REIT/BDC distribution treatment, holding-period checks, or taxable-vs-IRA account placement decisions for dividend assets.

Detect structural macro regime transitions (1-2 year horizon) using cross-asset ratio analysis. Analyze RSP/SPY concentration, yield curve, credit conditions, size factor, equity-bond relationship, and sector rotation to identify regime shifts between Concentration, Broadening, Contraction, Inflationary, and Transitional states. Run when user asks about macro regime, market regime change, structural rotation, or long-term market positioning.

Runs a declarative strategy spec over OHLCV bars with the manifoldbt Rust engine, pairs the fill log into round trips, and emits the eight inputs the backtest-expert skill scores. Use when the user wants to execute a backtest, measure a rule they have described, obtain win rate / average win / average loss / max drawdown from real bars, or feed backtest-expert with measured numbers instead of estimates.

Quantifies market breadth health using TraderMonty's public CSV data. Generates a 0-100 composite score across 6 components (100 = healthy). No API key required. Use when user asks about market breadth, participation rate, advance-decline health, whether the rally is broad-based, or general market health assessment.

Comprehensive market environment analysis and reporting tool. Analyzes global markets including US, European, Asian markets, forex, commodities, and economic indicators. Provides risk-on/risk-off assessment, sector analysis, and technical indicator interpretation. Triggers on keywords like market analysis, market environment, global markets, trading environment, market conditions, investment climate, market sentiment, forex analysis, stock market analysis, 相場環境, 市場分析, マーケット状況, 投資環境.

This skill should be used when analyzing recent market-moving news events and their impact on equity markets and commodities. Use this skill when the user requests analysis of major financial news from the past 10 days, wants to understand market reactions to monetary policy decisions (FOMC, ECB, BOJ), needs assessment of geopolitical events' impact on commodities, or requires comprehensive review of earnings announcements from mega-cap stocks. The skill automatically collects news using WebSearch/WebFetch tools and produces impact-ranked analysis reports. All analysis thinking and output are conducted in English.

Assesses heuristic market top risk using O'Neil Distribution Days, Minervini Leading Stock Deterioration, and Monty Defensive Sector Rotation. Generates a 0-100 composite score with risk zone classification. Use when user asks about market top risk, distribution days, defensive rotation, leadership breakdown, or whether to reduce equity exposure. Focuses on 2-8 week tactical timing signals for 10-20% corrections.

Select the best MetaTrader 5 trading robots (Expert Advisors) that have not been backtested yet, by running the MT5 Strategy Tester from the command line through a 3-round pipeline. Use when the user wants to batch-test MT5 bots/EAs, screen robots across all symbols, optimize EA parameters, or move candidate bots to finalists based on profit, drawdown, positive months/years and equity-curve criteria. Runs terminal64.exe headless; Windows + MetaTrader 5 required at run time.

Judge whether a market FAILED to react to news favorable to a crowded speculative position — step 2 of Jason Shapiro's COT contrarian process. Consumes a cot-contrarian-detector report (or an explicit direction) plus a Claude-curated events JSON, fetches the underlying price series with a documented fallback chain, and produces a fail-closed CONFIRMED / NOT_CONFIRMED / INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE verdict using a statistically validated drift-significance test (not a naive failure-ratio, which false-confirms on pure noise). Generic beyond COT — reusable for PEAD and macro-crowding news-failure checks. Use when the user asks to check news-failure confirmation, whether a crowded market "shrugged off" good/bad news, or wants to run Shapiro step 2 on a CROWDED_LONG/CROWDED_SHORT market.